- ¿Publicará Elon Musk menos de 40 tuits desde el 24 de agosto hasta el 26 de agosto de 2026?3¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 40 y 64 tuits desde el 24 de agosto hasta el 26 de agosto de 2026?35¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 65 y 89 tuits del 24 al 26 de agosto de 2026?43¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 90 y 114 tuits del 24 al 26 de agosto de 2026?16¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 115 y 139 tuits del 24 al 26 de agosto de 2026?5¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 140 y 164 tuits del 24 al 26 de agosto de 2026?1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 165 y 189 tuits del 24 al 26 de agosto de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Elon Musk publicará entre 190 y 214 tuits del 24 de agosto al 26 de agosto de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 215 y 239 tuits del 24 al 26 de agosto de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk más de 240 tuits entre el 24 de agosto y el 26 de agosto de 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s typical weekend slowdown in X activity, with daily volumes often falling to 20–30 posts amid routine commentary on AI tools like Grok Voice, Starlink operations, and demographic concerns such as fertility trends, forms the core driver behind current trader consensus. Recent August tracking shows overall daily averages of 23–50 posts, with mid-week spikes giving way to lighter output that positions the 65–89 bracket as the leading market-implied outcome at 42.5%. The tight contest with the 40–64 range at 34.5% reflects uncertainty over how sharply the weekend lull will suppress totals, while any sudden platform updates or launch announcements could shift momentum higher. Historical three-day windows and consistent engagement patterns underscore this balanced positioning ahead of the period’s close.