- Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?75¢75 %
- Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?21¢21 %
- Will Chang Sheng-te win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Chen Wan-hui win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?<1¢<1 %
13 %75 %Lin Kuo-chang9,9 t $ vol.
15 %20,5 %Wu Tsung-hsien6,9 t $ vol.
1 %0,5 %Chang Sheng-te1,5 t $ vol.
2 %0,4 %Chen Wan-hui2,1 t $ vol.
Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest position in the Yilan County magistrate race ahead of the November 28 vote, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent polling edge and unified party backing. President Lai Ching-te’s November 10 campaign visit reinforced this by highlighting approved central infrastructure projects, including high-speed rail extension to Yilan, railway elevation, and Su-Hua safety upgrades, while pledging full coordination if Lin wins. Kuomintang candidate Wu Tsung-hsien, who secured the main opposition nomination after prevailing in alliance polling, faces headwinds from divided local factions despite mutual attacks over candidates’ business ties and asset declarations. Minor candidates, including independents and Taiwan People’s Party figures, register negligible market support. Recent ballot number draws and negative campaigning have intensified focus on local development priorities and governance records without shifting the frontrunner dynamic.
Regler
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).