- Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?98¢98 %
- Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?2¢2 %
1 %98,2 %Scott Colom (D)2,6 mio. $ vol.
1 %1,6 %Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)3,3 mio. $ vol.
Scott Colom holds a narrow but expanding lead in the ongoing Mississippi Senate vote count, currently ahead by roughly 1,800 votes with 95-96% of ballots tallied after the November 3 election. Traders have priced this near-certainty into the market, viewing the remaining mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day and provisional ballots as unlikely to reverse the margin in a state without automatic recounts. Hyde-Smith’s campaign has directed counties to preserve affidavit ballots for potential legal review, while Colom’s team signals readiness to defend the tally. Any shift would require a substantial swing among the few thousand outstanding ballots or successful court challenges altering eligibility determinations before final certification.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.