- Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?49¢49 %
- Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?90¢90 %
- 7 %49 %November 30Objem 14,9 tis. $
- 1 %90 %December 31Objem 2,6 tis. $
Anthropic's rapid 2026 release cadence for the Claude 5 family drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus 5.6+ model. The company launched Opus 5 in July, followed by Opus 5.5 on September 22 at lower pricing with 1M context and adaptive thinking, then Sonnet 5.5, Haiku 5.5, and today’s Fable 5.2 and Mythos 5.2 variants that push frontier coding and agentic benchmarks. This pattern of frequent iterations—often weeks apart—reflects competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-6 family and Google’s Gemini updates, alongside internal focus on cost-efficient scaling and verified capabilities over marketing claims. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements, system cards, and benchmark shifts for signals on whether Opus 5.6 arrives before year-end or early 2027, noting typical timelines for feature thresholds like expanded context or new reasoning modes.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Opus" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6, while models whose name does not include "Opus" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Opus 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.