This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk's consistent high-volume posting on X drives the strong trader consensus around 320-339 tweets for the week, reflecting his established pattern of frequent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader tech and political topics. Recent business updates and platform engagement have sustained this activity level without major slowdowns, aligning market-implied odds with historical weekly averages during active periods. Upcoming chart or announcement cycles could nudge totals higher or lower, but current sentiment treats the range as the most probable outcome given his verified posting cadence.