This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump’s Truth Social activity as president has averaged 19–24 posts per day through 2026, driven by rapid responses to economic data, foreign policy developments such as the Iran conflict, routine endorsements, and commentary on domestic politics. The current week includes Labor Day weekend and recent jobs-report reactions, which have already produced short bursts exceeding a dozen posts in a few hours. Trader consensus clusters around 140–179 and 200+ because baseline volume can be lifted or tempered by the pace of breaking news, scheduled events, or quieter stretches, with the eight-day window still open to shifts from any major policy announcement or international development.