Multiple postponements since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader sentiment on the Doge-1 lunar CubeSat mission, with the rideshare payload now aligned to Intuitive Machines' IM-3 flight targeted for early 2027 rather than any remaining 2026 window. SpaceX manifest priorities favor higher-profile cargo and crewed flights, leaving the Dogecoin-funded satellite with limited confirmed slots and no recent official T-0 date. Historical patterns of repeated slips underscore the uncertainty, while any formal manifest update or launch pad assignment could quickly shift implied probabilities. Traders are watching Q1 2027 NASA CLPS reviews and SpaceX scheduling for clearer signals on whether the mission clears its next hurdle before year-end deadlines.
如果 Doge-1 12U 月球立方体卫星在 2027年12月31日 23:59 ET 前从其发射台成功发射,该市场将判定为“是”。否则,该市场将判定为“否”。 任何发射的结果都将通过查看 SpaceX 提供的官方视频 (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX),以及在必要时查看其他视频源和/或书面报告来佐证。 发射后发生的任何异常(例如爆炸)都不会影响结果。卫星与另一运载器一同更名,不会影响该市场的结果。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。