- Taylor Swift 会在 2026 年发行“Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)”吗？45¢45%
Taylor Swift’s completed re-recording of her 2006 self-titled debut sits ready but unreleased as of mid-October 2026, supporting the 60% market-implied probability against a 2026 drop. In her May 2025 letter confirming ownership of the original masters, Swift described the project as finished and enjoyable yet emphasized no fixed timetable, framing any future release as a celebratory choice rather than a necessity. Momentum has stayed with her 2025 album The Life of a Showgirl and its September 2026 Encore edition, which dominated the Billboard 200 with new tracks and variants. The 20th anniversary on October 24 passed amid fan speculation tied to green imagery and website clues without confirmation, while Reputation’s re-recording remains under 25% complete. Traders see limited near-term catalysts before year-end, given Swift’s focus on current catalog extensions and the reduced urgency after regaining full rights.
规则
如果 Taylor Swift 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 PT（洛杉矶时间）之前发行其首张专辑《Taylor Swift》的重新录制版本，则本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 “正式发行”是指新发行的专辑在判定日期前已正式提供下载或流媒体播放（不包括现场活动）。 符合条件的专辑必须在标题中包含某种形式的“Taylor's Version”标识，或由 Taylor Swift 确认是相关专辑的重新录制版本。除名为《Taylor Swift》的专辑之外，其他专辑的“Taylor's Version”重新录制版本均不能使本市场判定为“是”。 判定来源为任何官方流媒体或下载网站，例如 Apple Music 或 Spotify。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。