- 普京会在 2026年12月31日 之前与泽连斯基会面吗？10¢
Putin has consistently rejected direct bilateral meetings with Zelenskyy except under conditions Kyiv deems unacceptable, such as talks in Moscow, while recent diplomatic efforts have centered on trilateral or multilateral formats that exclude the Ukrainian leader. As of mid-October 2026, Putin proposed a potential summit with Trump and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC meeting without Zelenskyy, amid stalled negotiations over territorial issues, security guarantees, and cease-fire terms. US-mediated contacts, including envoy meetings in Oslo and planned talks in Russia, have produced no pathway to a Putin-Zelenskyy encounter. Traders' 93.5% implied probability for no meeting by December 31, 2026, reflects these entrenched positions and the absence of verifiable progress toward direct leader-level engagement despite ongoing peace initiatives.
规则
如果弗拉基米尔·普京在本市场创建后至指定日期和时间 23:59 ET 之间与沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基会面，本市场将判定为 "是"。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 所提及的两人之间有言语交流、握手、直接交谈或其他明确的亲身互动，均符合会面的定义。仅仅站得很近、眼神接触，或在没有直接互动的情况下出现在同一房间或活动中，均不符合会面的定义。 会面是指泽连斯基和普京双方均在场并亲自互动的任何相遇。 判定依据将是可信报道所形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。