- Lionel Messi 会在 2026 年宣布退役吗？8¢8%
Messi’s strong recent MLS form, including leading the league with 23 goals and adding double-digit assists while helping Inter Miami contend for the playoffs and additional trophies, anchors trader expectations against a 2026 retirement. His contract runs through the end of the 2028 season, with annual reviews reflecting ongoing commitment rather than imminent exit, and Inter Miami’s leadership has outlined post-playing roles including potential ownership involvement. The 39-year-old’s international retirement after the 2026 World Cup has allowed greater club focus, while manager comments and reports of sustained competitiveness underscore his enjoyment and physical readiness to continue. These elements align with the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to no retirement announcement this year.
规则
如果 Lionel Messi 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前正式宣布退出职业俱乐部足球，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 要结算为“是”，公告必须明确表示 Messi 将退出职业俱乐部足球，或无限期离开职业俱乐部足球，并且意图不再参加任何俱乐部赛事。公告必须由 Messi 本人或其官方代表发布。 只有将离开俱乐部赛事表述为预计在公告日期起 12 个月内生效的公告才符合条件（例如，“我会在 2 年后离开俱乐部足球”和“我永远不会再踢球”都不符合条件）。 如果 Messi 以符合条件的方式退役，但仍继续、恢复或宣布有意参加国际足球赛事（例如代表阿根廷国家队出赛），该退役仍符合条件。是否参加国际足球赛事不会影响本市场。 本市场的主要判定依据将是该人士或其授权代表发布的官方声明。也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。