Francis Ngannou’s 94.5% “No” probability stems primarily from the enduring rift with UFC president Dana White, who in September 2026 publicly ruled out any future business dealings and labeled the former heavyweight champion a “bad guy” following their 2023 contract impasse. Ngannou, now 40, has competed sparingly in MMA since leaving the UFC as champion, with his sole PFL appearance a 2024 knockout of Renan Ferreira before parting ways with the promotion in March 2026 to pursue boxing bouts against Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua. No reconciliation signals have emerged, and White’s stance remains unchanged amid Ngannou’s free-agent status and focus on non-UFC opportunities. The short window to December 31, 2026, further limits any realistic path back into the Octagon.
规则
如果 Francis Ngannou 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前正式参加 UFC 比赛,此市场将判定为“是”。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
宣布将进行比赛、签署 UFC 合同或参加任何形式的表演赛,均不符合此市场的判定条件。只有 Ngannou 正式参加由 UFC 认可的官方比赛,才会计入“是”的判定。
此市场的判定依据为 UFC 官方信息;不过,也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。