- 埃隆·马斯克会获得 St. Clair 孩子的完全监护权吗？2¢2%
St. Clair’s active lawsuit seeking sole custody of son Romulus, combined with the ongoing contentious proceedings, underpins traders’ overwhelming 97.3% “No” consensus that Musk will not obtain full custody. Recent coverage of the Alex Gibney documentary Musk highlights financial disputes and public allegations but shows no court developments favoring Musk’s sole control, consistent with typical family-court patterns that rarely award one parent exclusive rights absent clear evidence of the other’s unfitness. Musk’s extensive business and public commitments, plus his other children, further reduce the likelihood of a full-custody outcome. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to dramatic new evidence—such as verified safety concerns or a surprise settlement granting primary physical custody—though the current record and legal posture make such shifts improbable before resolution.
规则
1月12日，Elon Musk 宣布，他将申请与 Ashley St. Clair 所生孩子的完全监护权。（参见：https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair） 如果在 2026年12月31日、23:59 ET 前，任何美国法院以最终命令裁定 Elon Musk 对其儿子 Romulus 拥有单独法律监护权，或主要居住／实际监护权，则该市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 临时监护令或过渡安排不符合本市场结算为“是”的条件，除非它们在市场规定的截止时间前成为最终裁决。 如果所有相关法院诉讼永久停止，或由任何一方撤回，本市场将立即结算为“否”。 该市场将根据 Elon Musk、Ashley St. Clair、其官方法律或社交媒体代表的公告，或可信报道形成的共识进行结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。