- Cristiano Ronaldo 会参加 UEFA Euro 2028 吗？5¢5%
Cristiano Ronaldo's retirement from the Portugal national team, announced on November 5, 2026, anchors the near-certain trader consensus against his participation at UEFA Euro 2028. At age 41 (turning 43 during the tournament), the five-time Ballon d’Or winner confirmed the 2026 World Cup as his final major international event before stepping away after 234 caps and a record 146 goals. Post-tournament tensions, including a brief camp walkout and shift toward a younger squad under coach Jorge Jesus, reinforced the transition. His Al-Nassr club commitment through 2027 focuses on domestic play rather than extending national-team service. While an unprecedented reversal of retirement remains theoretically possible, the combination of age-related physical demands, generational change, and Ronaldo’s explicit closure of his international chapter drives the 95.5% implied probability on “No.”
规则
如果 Cristiano Ronaldo 在 UEFA Euro 2028 决赛阶段代表 Portugal 出场至少一场，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 出场是指以首发或替补身份上场，不论上场时间长短。仅被列入球队名单或坐在替补席上、但没有上场，不算出场。 如果 Portugal 未能获得 UEFA Euro 2028 的参赛资格，本市场将结算为“否”。 如果 UEFA Euro 2028 被取消、延期至 2028年8月1日, 23:59 ET 之后，或者 Ronaldo 在该期限内没有参加决赛阶段的比赛，本市场将结算为“否”。 本市场的结算依据将是 UEFA 的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。