Anthropic's Claude services have experienced several early-October incidents, including a multi-day stretch of elevated errors on platform.claude.com from October 7-13, shorter API and model-specific issues around October 5-7, and isolated outages earlier in the month. As of October 18, status pages show all components operational with no new major disruptions reported in the past week, supporting the tight market split between fewer than five days and five-to-seven days total. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's improving incident resolution times and high baseline uptime against the remaining 13 days of October, where even brief model or console problems could shift the count. Competitive pressures from other large language model providers and ongoing scaling of Claude's infrastructure add to the uncertainty around future stability.
本市场将根据 2026 年 10 月 Claude (claude.ai) 发生任何停机的天数进行结算。 如果 claude.ai 组件的 Claude Status 历史运行时间页面 (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) 在当天状态框最终确定后显示该状态框为绿色以外的任何颜色,则视为 Claude 在当天发生了停机。claude.ai 以外的 Claude 组件每日状态框不会影响本市场的结算。 如果次日的状态框显示为非灰色(尚未开始的日期使用的灰色),则视为该日已最终确定。 指定月份的最后一天最终确定后,本市场即进行结算。如果指定月份的最后一天在指定月份之后第 7 个日历日(ET)结束前仍未最终确定,本市场将根据截至当时已最终确定的日期进行结算。 本市场的主要结算依据为 claude.ai 组件的 Claude Status 历史运行时间页面 (https://status.claude.com/uptime/)。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。