- 英国四个构成国和爱尔兰都能晋级2028年欧洲杯吗？52¢52%
England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter Euro 2028 qualifying as co-hosts with a UEFA safety net of two reserved spots for the highest-ranked among them that miss the 20 automatic berths. Northern Ireland, no longer a host after withdrawing from venue plans, must qualify on merit in the standard 12-group format starting March 2027. Recent Nations League and ranking data show the four hosts with strong implied qualification probabilities near 93 percent, while Northern Ireland sits near 48 percent, creating the close market balance. Key upcoming factors include the December 2026 qualifying draw, group compositions, and each side's form through the 2026-27 campaign that could shift Northern Ireland's odds or test the hosts' resilience in separate groups.
规则
如果英格兰、苏格兰、威尔士、北爱尔兰和爱尔兰共和国这五支队伍全部属于参加 UEFA Euro 2028 决赛阶段的队伍，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 无论一支队伍通过何种途径进入决赛阶段，都算作参赛；途径包括以小组第一晋级、以成绩最佳的小组第二名之一晋级、赢得附加赛，或取得两个为东道国保留的名额之一。 如果在任何时候，这五支列出的队伍已不可能全部参加 UEFA Euro 2028，本市场将立即判定为“否”。 如果 UEFA Euro 2028 被取消、延期至 2028年6月1日、23:59 ET 之后，或 UEFA 未在该期限内正式确认决赛阶段的参赛队伍，本市场将判定为“否”。 本市场的结算依据将是 UEFA 的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。