- 2026年是否会成为有记录以来最热的一年？75¢
- 2026年是否将成为有记录以来第二热的一年？25¢
- 2026 年是否会成为有记录以来的第三热年份？1¢
- 2026年会成为有记录以来第四热的年份吗？<1¢
- 2026 年会是有记录以来最热的第五年吗？<1¢
- 2026年是否会成为有记录以来第六热的年份，还是更低？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.