Bad Bunny’s commanding 92% implied probability stems from his unmatched catalog momentum and repeat dominance as Spotify’s global most-streamed artist in 2020–2022 and 2025. With 38 tracks exceeding one billion streams—the platform record—his prior album DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS continues driving consistent daily totals near 47 million, sustaining year-to-date leads despite no major 2026 release. Drake’s recent daily stream edge and Bruno Mars’ monthly listener peak create narrower gaps, yet traders view Bad Bunny’s historical precedent and sustained volume as decisive. Spotify Wrapped, expected in late November or early December, will finalize totals; an upset would require an extraordinary late-year surge from challengers or a shift in how streams are tallied.
Spotify 每年都会发布一份播放量最高艺人的报告(参见:https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/)。此市场指的是 2026 年 Spotify 上播放量最高的艺人。 此市场将根据 Spotify 列为 2026 年顶级艺人的艺人姓名进行结算。 如果 Spotify 未能在 2027年1月31日 23:59 ET 前公布其 2026 年顶级艺人,此市场将以“其他”结算。 此市场的结算依据为 Spotify 的官方信息,通常会作为 Spotify Wrapped 的一部分发布。 此市场及这些产品均未获得 Spotify 的认可。任何对 Spotify、Spotify 榜单、流媒体数据或任何相关标识的提及,仅用于描述,并不表示 Spotify 认可本产品,也不表示 Spotify 与 Polymarket 存在任何关联。Spotify 及相关标识均为 Spotify AB 及其集团公司的财产。
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