- Taylor 和 Travis 会在 2026 年离婚吗？2¢2%
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's July 2026 wedding at Madison Square Garden, officiated by Adam Sandler and attended by roughly 1,000 guests, established the foundation for trader consensus against a 2026 divorce. Recent verified sightings, including joint appearances at Chiefs games and a New York birthday dinner in October, along with insider reports describing the newlyweds as thrilled with married life, have reinforced stability. No credible statements or reports indicate marital strain. While celebrity relationships remain subject to rapid shifts from unannounced developments, the lack of confirmed friction sustains the 97.5% market-implied probability for "No."
规则
如果 Taylor Swift 或 Travis Kelce 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 之前宣布有意离婚、宣布已完成离婚，或提出离婚申请，此市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 宣布有意离婚，即足以判定为“是”，无论之后是否真的离婚，或实际离婚是否发生在此市场的时间范围之外。仅宣布分居并不足以符合条件。 如果 Taylor Swift 或 Travis Kelce 未作出此类宣布便正式提出离婚申请，只要可信报道普遍认为申请已经提交，即足以判定为“是”。 判定结果的依据将是 Taylor Swift、Travis Kelce 及其官方代表的声明；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。