- 会在 12月31日 前因螺旋蝇蛆宣布国家紧急状态吗？14¢14%
Recent confirmation of the first U.S. wildlife case of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in a Texas elk, alongside 65 total animal detections in Texas and New Mexico with 12 still active as of late October 2026, has heightened trader focus on potential federal emergency declarations. USDA-APHIS data show the outbreak began with a June 2026 calf case and has prompted infested zones, expanded fly trapping, and wildlife surveillance, though officials classify it as contained rather than a full outbreak. CDC assessments rate human risk as very low to low, with historical eradication from the U.S. in the 1960s via sterile insect techniques providing context for current control efforts. Key upcoming factors include ongoing case reporting, border port reopenings, and any new detections that could trigger extraordinary emergency authority.
规则
如果美国联邦政府在指定日期的 23:59 ET 前正式宣布国家紧急状态或特别紧急状态，或者运用其他紧急权力，因应美国牲畜中的螺旋蝇（Cochliomyia hominivorax）疫情宣布国家危机，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 未正式宣布紧急状态的声明、演讲、社交媒体帖子、命令草案和行政命令均不符合条件。 现有国家紧急状态的续期或延长均不符合条件，除非文本经过实质性修改，明确涉及螺旋蝇。 主要判定依据为《联邦公报》以及白宫、农业部、农业部长或其他联邦部门或机构的官方刊物；不过，也可以采用可信新闻报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。