The November 29, 2026, Quito mayoral election features incumbent Pabel Muñoz seeking re-election amid over 680 legal and administrative actions, including recent Fiscalía raids on municipal offices tied to alleged peculado in public contracts and separate denuncias over purported kickbacks. National government officials have publicly criticized his administration's El Niño contingency planning, while opposition candidates including Harold Burbano, Wilson Merino, Jorge Yunda, and others compete in a field marked by high undecided voters exceeding 70 percent in recent surveys. These developments sustain a competitive dynamic in which no single contender has consolidated broad support, leaving trader probabilities closely aligned among the leading names and sensitive to any further shifts in legal outcomes, campaign momentum, or late voter consolidation before election day.
厄瓜多尔基多市2026年市长选举目前定于2026年11月29日举行。 本市场将根据在此次选举中胜出、成为基多下一任市长的候选人进行结算。 选举前任命的临时、代理或名义市长不予考虑。 如果截至2027年6月30日 23:59 ET仍未得知此次选举结果,本市场将结算为“其他”。 本市场的主要结算依据将是可信报道的共识;但如果结果存在任何歧义,本市场将依据厄瓜多尔政府的官方信息进行结算,包括国家选举委员会(Consejo Nacional Electoral,CNE,https://www.cne.gob.ec)和选举争议法庭(Tribunal Contencioso Electoral,TCE,https://www.tce.gob.ec)。
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