- Perplexity 在 IPO 当日收盘时的市值会低于 $200亿 吗？31¢31%
- IPO 当天收盘时，Perplexity 的市值会介于 $200亿 和 $300亿 之间吗？3¢3%
- IPO 当天收盘时，Perplexity 的市值会介于 $300亿 和 $400亿 之间吗？3¢3%
- IPO 当天收盘时，Perplexity 的市值会介于 $400亿 和 $500亿 之间吗？3¢3%
- IPO 当天收盘时，Perplexity 的市值会介于 $500亿 和 $750亿 之间吗？6¢6%
- IPO 当天收盘时，Perplexity 的市值会介于 $750亿 和 $1000亿 之间吗？4¢4%
- IPO 当日收盘时，Perplexity 的市值会高于 $1000亿 吗？3¢3%
- Perplexity 到 2027年12月31日 前会不会仍未 IPO？46¢46%
CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly committed to a 2028 IPO as the earliest target, unchanged by recent AI listings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic. This stance, reaffirmed in June 2026 CNBC comments and October 2026 coverage, underpins the 66% market-implied probability of no IPO before then, as executives prioritize building sustainable revenue and operations over rushing to public markets. Perplexity’s last priced rounds valued the company at roughly $20–23 billion in late 2025 and early 2026, with secondary marks near $19–20 billion as of October 2026. Annualized revenue reached about $750 million by August 2026—up sharply from under $250 million earlier in the year—driven by the February 2026 Perplexity Computer agent launch and usage-based pricing. This supports moderate IPO valuation brackets but keeps higher ranges (50B+) at low single-digit odds given current multiples around 27x revenue and typical AI listing precedents. Ongoing Nvidia investment talks at a potential $30 billion-plus valuation remain unclosed and would still occur privately. Traders appear to view the explicit 2028 timeline, combined with measured growth and regulatory or market risks for AI firms, as the dominant factors shaping these probabilities.
规则
本市场将根据 Perplexity 首个交易日收盘价计算的市值进行结算。 如果截至 2027年12月31日 23:59 ET Perplexity 尚未进行 IPO，本市场将结算为“2028 年前不会 IPO”。 市值表示一家公司已发行流通股的货币价值，以其定价货币表示。计算方式为已发行流通股数量乘以首个交易日的收盘股价。 如果相关数值恰好介于两个区间之间，本市场将按较高的区间结算。 结算将以主要交易所的官方上市页面为依据。如果页面未显示相关数值，将使用其他可靠来源。 如果 Perplexity 首个交易日的正常交易时段期间发生中断（例如触发熔断机制或仅交易半天），本市场将按照缩短交易时段的官方收盘价结算。如果没有公布此类官方收盘价，本市场将根据下一个公布官方收盘价的交易日结算，并在本市场中将该日视为首个交易日。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。