- “The Baddest Speechwriter of All”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？46¢
- “Water Cooler”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？32¢
- “A Wolf in the Suburbs”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？30¢
- “A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？28¢
- “Listen”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？28¢
- “One Last Order”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？23¢
- “A Derailment”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？22¢
- “Oh Whale”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？22¢
- “We're Fine”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？19¢
- “The Tuners”会获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片提名吗？19¢
Recent festival shortlists and precursor nominations are shaping early trader attention for the five Best Documentary Short Film nominees at the 99th Oscars. The Critics Choice Documentary Awards shortlist and DOC NYC’s influential Shorts selections, announced in mid-October 2026, highlighted titles such as “The Baddest Speechwriter of All” and others with strong festival pedigrees, providing the first concrete signals of momentum. Eligibility closed September 30, 2026, with final submissions due October 8; the Academy will reveal its 15-film shortlist on December 15 before nominations voting runs January 11–15, 2027. Documentary branch voters weigh theatrical or qualifying-festival runs alongside critical reception, and historical patterns show guild and critics’ nods often preview the eventual nominees. Traders are monitoring any late-2026 festival breakthroughs or additional precursor results that could shift consensus before the January announcement.
规则
美国电影艺术与科学学院（AMPAS）每年颁发奥斯卡金像奖，以表彰电影领域杰出的艺术和技术成就。第99届奥斯卡金像奖将于2027年举行，提名预计于1月21日公布，颁奖典礼随后将于2027年3月14日举行。 如果所列影片获得第99届奥斯卡最佳纪录短片奖提名，该市场将结算为“是”。如果某部影片在公布2027年提名时未获得奥斯卡最佳纪录短片奖的正式提名，则相应市场将立即结算为“否”。 如果因任何原因，截至2027年3月14日、23:59 ET仍未公布任何提名，此市场将判定为“否”。 此市场的主要判定依据为奥斯卡金像奖和AMPAS的官方信息，包括其网站上的数据（例如https://www.oscars.org/）以及颁奖典礼的现场直播；不过，也可参考可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。