- OpenAI 在 2026 年的估值会达到 $1T+ 吗？83¢83%
OpenAI’s strong trader consensus at 84.4% for a $1T+ valuation by year-end stems primarily from ongoing talks for a $30B+ pre-IPO bridge round at roughly $1.4T pre-money, reported in late September and early October. This builds on the March 2026 $852B post-money round and secondary-market marks now exceeding $1T in some platforms. Revenue momentum supports the positioning, with annualized run rate near $50B in September and a $70B year-end target driven by enterprise growth and recent model releases. Heavy infrastructure spending and an IPO now slated for 2027 keep private capital flowing, though high losses and execution risks on new rounds could still influence final resolution.
规则
如果 OpenAI 在市场创建至 2026年12月31日、23:59 ET 期间，达到 $1 万亿美元或以上的公开估值，或完成一轮使公司估值达到 $1 万亿美元或以上的私人融资，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 要符合条件，该估值必须由 OpenAI 明确确认，或获得可信报道压倒性的共识。 结算依据将是 OpenAI 的官方声明；不过，也可以采用可信报道的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。