- Dejan Šoškić会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？41¢41%
- Ilija Srdanović会成为塞尔维亚的下一任总理吗？26¢26%
- Radomir Saičić会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？13¢13%
- Zoran Stojiljković会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？7¢7%
- Dejan Bodiroga会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？6¢6%
- Vladan Đokić会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？2¢2%
- Aleksandar Vučić会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？<1¢<1%
- Ivica Dačić会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？<1¢<1%
- Ana Brnabić会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？<1¢<1%
- Stefan Krkobabić会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？<1¢<1%
- Miloš Vučević会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？<1¢<1%
- Đuro Macut会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗？<1¢<1%
The recent parliamentary election victory by Serbia’s decentralized Student List movement, securing a projected majority of seats on October 25, has created substantial uncertainty over prime minister selection. The group, formed from anticorruption protests, lacks a designated leader and operates through collective plenums, resulting in numerous candidates sharing equal implied probabilities in trader consensus. This dispersion reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner and the need for internal negotiations before parliament convenes to form a government. Historical patterns of consensus appointments in protest-driven coalitions, combined with the incoming administration’s focus on institutional reforms, sustain the tight positioning until a candidate is formally advanced.
规则
本市场将判定由截至 2028年6月30日、23:59 ET 正式就任塞尔维亚总理的下一位人士胜出。 要计入判定，该人士必须由国民议会选出并正式宣誓就职，从而正式组建新政府。任何未经国民议会选出的临时或看守总理，均不计入本市场的判定。 如果截至 2028年6月30日、23:59 ET 仍无人就任意大利总理，本市场将按“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信新闻报道形成的共识进行判定。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据塞尔维亚政府的官方信息进行判定。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。