- 下一个OpenAI GPT Luna（5.7及以上）将在2026年10月31日之前发布吗？69¢
- 下一个OpenAI GPT Luna（5.7及以上）会在2026年9月30日之前发布吗？63¢
- 下一个 OpenAI GPT Luna（5.7 及以上）会在 2026 年 11 月 30 日前发布吗？91¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Luna, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Terra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
OpenAI released the GPT-5.6 family, including the fast, low-cost Luna tier, for general availability on July 9, 2026, after a limited partner preview and U.S. government safety review prompted by an executive order on frontier model evaluation. The rollout emphasized improved agentic capabilities, token efficiency, and tiered pricing, with Luna positioned for high-volume tasks at the lowest cost. As of early September 2026, attention has shifted to the GPT-6 Astra successor, which began limited rollout on September 3 following confirmation of advanced cyber capabilities. Upcoming catalysts include broader Astra access across ChatGPT and API tiers, potential Luna variants in the new generation, and any additional regulatory benchmarks that could influence release timing or scope. Trader consensus reflects the pattern of roughly two-month intervals between major updates, tempered by government oversight risks.