- Mohammed bin Salman 会在 2026年12月31日 前不再是沙特阿拉伯的实际领导人吗？6¢
Recent Houthi missile strikes on Riyadh’s airport on October 10 have intensified scrutiny of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s Yemen policy and exposed gaps in Saudi air defenses, prompting questions about his leadership amid ongoing economic strains on Vision 2030 projects. King Salman’s recent health issues, including a lung infection, have prompted official reassurances from the crown prince, who continues to chair cabinet sessions and advance reforms. Analysts note MBS’s centralized control, sidelining of rivals since 2017, and lack of organized internal opposition make abrupt removal unlikely, though diplomatic and fiscal pressures could influence royal family dynamics or succession timing. Scheduled events such as the postponed Future Investment Initiative and any shifts in U.S. or regional alliances remain potential catalysts within the resolution window.
规则
如果沙特阿拉伯王储 Mohammed bin Salman 在市场创建至指定日期（ET）期间的任何时候不再担任沙特阿拉伯领导人，此市场将结算为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在此市场的结束日期之前宣布 Mohammed bin Salman 辞职或被免职，此市场将立即结算为"是"，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效。 如果指定个人被拘留、实际上被免去指定职务，或在本市场的时间范围内以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定职务的职责，则符合结算为“是”的条件。 此市场的结算依据将是 Mohammed bin Salman 和沙特阿拉伯政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道的一致结论。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。