- 首尔（仁川）9月2日的最低气温会在18°C或以下吗？<1¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会是19°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会是20°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会是21°C吗？17¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会是22°C吗？93¢
- 首尔（仁川）9月2日的最低气温会是23°C吗？<1¢
- 首尔（仁川）9月2日的最低气温会是24°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会是25°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会是26°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会是27°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日首尔（仁川）的最低气温会达到28°C或更高吗？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those informing Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity holding the minimum temperature near 22°C for Seoul/Incheon on September 2. This aligns with the 93% market-implied probability, as ensemble runs show tight clustering around that value with limited spread. Recent stabilization after earlier moisture has reduced variability in boundary-layer conditions. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear-sky cooling or a sharper wind shift, though model agreement makes sub-21°C outcomes improbable before final observations.