- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是10°C或以下吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是11°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是12°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是13°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是14°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是15°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是16°C吗？2¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是17°C吗？97¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是18°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会是19°C吗？<1¢
- 9月2日伦敦的最低气温会达到20°C或更高吗？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across London, with official forecasts and model guidance converging on a daily minimum near 17°C. Met Office guidance and multiple numerical weather prediction outputs project lows of 17–19°C under breezy conditions that limit radiative cooling, while surface observations early on September 2 already show readings in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions rather than climatological norms (historical September 2 lows average near 13°C). Clearer skies or a temporary wind lull could allow modest additional cooling toward 16°C, though current model consensus and the proximity to resolution make larger downward revisions unlikely.