Pavel Lagutin enters this M25 Vale do Lobo quarterfinal as the clear favorite due to his higher ATP ranking (No. 390 versus Ivanov’s No. 459), stronger 2026 win rate (73 percent versus 56 percent), and superior career record on hard courts. The 21-year-old Russian has posted consistent results across recent ITF events, including multiple deep runs and a strong service-game efficiency that suits the faster surface. Ivanov, an 18-year-old Bulgarian junior standout, showed resilience to reach the quarters but carries a lower win percentage this season and lost their only prior meeting on clay earlier in 2026. Traders appear to weigh Lagutin’s ranking edge, recent form, and hard-court suitability as decisive, producing the 71 percent implied probability.
规则
本市场指 M25 Vale do Lobo 正赛中 Ivan Ivanov 与 Pavel Lagutin 之间的网球比赛,该比赛原定于 2026年11月13日 10:45 ET 举行。
若Ivan Ivanov在对阵Pavel Lagutin的比赛中晋级,本市场将结算为'Ivan Ivanov'。
若Pavel Lagutin在对阵Ivan Ivanov的比赛中晋级,本市场将结算为'Pavel Lagutin'。
若比赛被取消(完全未进行)、以平局结束,或在2026年11月27日 23:59 ET(原定开赛后14天)前仍未决出胜者,本市场将按50-50结算。
如果比赛已经开始但未完成,且一名选手因对手退赛、弃权或被取消资格而晋级,此市场将结算给晋级的选手。
如果比赛以弃权胜结束(一名选手在比赛开始前退赛,另一名选手自动晋级),此市场将按 50-50 结算。
主要结算依据将是国际网球联合会(ITF)的官方信息。也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。