- 以色列与哈马斯的停火协议会在 12月31日 前取消吗？7¢7%
10月9日，Israel 与 Hamas 签署了一项实施停火的协议：https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ 如果 Israel 或 Hamas 任一方宣布取消当前停火，或可信报道形成的共识确认停火已不再生效，且截至 2025年10月31日 23:59 ET，此市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将判定为“否”。 任何一方违反当前停火的公告，都不足以使此市场结算为“是”；只有 Israel 或 Hamas 的明确公告，或可信报道的广泛共识确认停火已经结束，才足以使此市场结算为“是”。 市场结算的主要依据将是 Hamas 或 Israel 政府的官方信息，但也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
Israeli strikes on November 1 killed at least eight people in Gaza, including police officers in Khan Younis and civilians in Gaza City, as the military targeted alleged Hamas militants amid claims of rearming and ceasefire violations. The year-old U.S.-brokered agreement has reduced large-scale fighting but left core issues unresolved, including Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli troop withdrawal from the Yellow Line area, international stabilization force deployment, and reconstruction. Israel maintains control over roughly two-thirds of the territory while conducting targeted operations; Hamas rejects disarmament-first demands and accuses Israel of undermining the deal through incremental advances and strikes that have killed over 1,500 Palestinians since the truce. Negotiations remain deadlocked with mediators from Egypt, Qatar, and the U.S. involved, and upcoming Israeli political developments could influence further diplomatic pressure or military posture.
规则
2025年10月9日，Israel与Hamas签署了一项实施停火的协议：https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ 如果 Israel 或 Hamas 任一方宣布取消当前停火，或可信报道形成的共识确认停火已不再生效，且截至 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET，此市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将判定为“否”。 任何一方违反当前停火的公告，都不足以使此市场结算为“是”；只有 Israel 或 Hamas 的明确公告，或可信报道的广泛共识确认停火已经结束，才足以使此市场结算为“是”。 市场结算的主要依据将是 Hamas 或 Israel 政府的官方信息，但也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。