- 2026年SpaceX星舰成功到达太空的次数会少于5次吗？50¢
- 2026年，5-6次SpaceX星舰发射能否成功进入太空？48¢
- 2026年会有7-8次SpaceX星舰发射成功进入太空吗？1¢
- 2026年，9-10次SpaceX星舰发射能否成功进入太空？<1¢
- 2026年，SpaceX星舰会有11-12次发射成功到达太空吗？<1¢
- 2026年会有13-14次SpaceX星舰发射成功进入太空吗？<1¢
- 2026年会有15-16次SpaceX星舰发射成功进入太空吗？<1¢
- 2026年，SpaceX星舰成功进入太空的发射次数会超过16次吗？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.