- 胡塞武装会在10月31日之前进入沙特阿拉伯吗？8¢8%
- 胡塞武装会在12月31日之前进入沙特阿拉伯吗？29¢29%
Recent Houthi missile and drone strikes on Saudi airports, including Riyadh’s King Khalid facility, and energy infrastructure such as Aramco sites have intensified since the July 2026 breakdown of the 2022 truce, driven by Houthi territorial gains in Yemen near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait and Saudi coalition counteroffensives. These asymmetric attacks reflect Iranian-backed capabilities and aim to impose economic and security costs without large-scale ground movements across the border. Saudi responses have focused on airstrikes in Yemen and efforts to build regional defense coordination, while diplomatic channels involving Iran and other actors remain active. No verified ground incursions by Houthi forces into Saudi territory have occurred amid the escalation.
规则
如果胡塞武装部队在指定日期 23:59 ET 前进入沙特阿拉伯王国的任何地区，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 “胡塞武装”指胡塞运动（Ansar Allah）的军事力量，包括在其指挥下或代表其行动的任何武装力量。 “进入”是指胡塞武装部队即使只是暂时，也蓄意在沙特阿拉伯境内任何地区开展行动；但作为战俘或下文所述的特使则不在此限。轰炸、破坏活动、近海海军部署或暂时中断活动，单独而言均不符合判定条件。若未能确认确有实际进入，仅宣布、威胁或声称胡塞武装已进入，均不符合判定条件。 胡塞使者为了协商协议或进行其他外交或商业活动而进入，单独而言不符合判定条件。 如有实质歧义，此市场可在指定日期后继续开放三天。如果截至第三个日历日结束时 23:59 ET，仍未能确认胡塞武装进入沙特阿拉伯，本市场将结算为“否”。 本市场的结算依据将是可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。