- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会在9°C或以下吗？<1¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会是10°C吗？<1¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会达到或超过19°C吗？<1¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会是11°C吗？<1¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会是12°C吗？<1¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会是13°C吗？<1¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会达到14°C吗？5¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会达到15°C吗？61¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会是16°C吗？32¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会是17°C吗？5¢
- 9月6日惠灵顿的最高气温会是18°C吗？1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 6, driven by a northwesterly flow under spring conditions with increasing cloud and showers that limit daytime heating. Persistent El Niño influences have produced near-average to slightly above-average temperatures for the region, consistent with climatological September highs near 14–15°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a peak near 16°C, while rain and stronger winds would cap readings at 14°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes based on the latest model runs and historical analogs, with updates from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine the range before resolution.