- 9月7日华沙的最高气温会是22°C吗？11¢
- 华沙9月7日的最高气温会是23°C吗？1¢
- 9月7日华沙的最高气温会达到25°C或更高吗？<1¢
- 9月7日华沙的最高气温会是24°C吗？1¢
- 华沙9月7日的最高气温会是21°C吗？51¢
- 华沙9月7日的最高气温会是17°C吗？<1¢
- 华沙在9月7日的最高气温会是16°C吗？<1¢
- 9月7日华沙的最高气温会在15℃或以下吗？<1¢
- 9月7日华沙的最高气温会是18°C吗？<1¢
- 9月7日华沙的最高气温会是19°C吗？4¢
- 华沙9月7日的最高气温会达到20℃吗？34¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s GFS and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs show a building high-pressure system over central Europe, with light westerly winds and extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating in Warsaw on September 7. This setup supports a maximum near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 51 % implied probability for 21 °C and 33.5 % for 20 °C. Recent observations from September 6 confirm cooler, moist air advection that will moderate temperatures, while climatological September averages near 19–20 °C provide additional context. Updated model guidance expected later today could shift the narrow distribution if cloud cover or wind patterns deviate.