- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会在26°C及以下吗？<1¢
- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会是27℃吗？<1¢
- 9月4日青岛最高气温会是28°C吗？<1¢
- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会是29°C吗？4¢
- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会达到30°C吗？17¢
- 青岛9月4日的最高气温会是31°C吗？42¢
- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会是32°C吗？33¢
- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会达到33°C吗？7¢
- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会是34°C吗？2¢
- 9月4日青岛的最高气温会达到35°C吗？<1¢
- 9月4日青岛最高气温会达到36℃或以上吗？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus in this near-term temperature market centers on forecast guidance showing mostly clear skies and moderate northeast winds over Qingdao on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum in the 30–32 °C range. Numerical weather models and agency outlooks converge on peak readings near 30–31 °C, with limited diurnal spread and negligible precipitation risk, which underpins the leading 31 °C and 32 °C implied probabilities. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Final official observations from Chinese meteorological authorities will determine resolution once the day concludes.