- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 3?>99¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent easterly moisture flow and extensive cloud cover have kept Lucknow's daytime highs suppressed near 30°C on September 3, 2026, aligning with the 99.7% market-implied probability for that exact threshold. Official observations from Lucknow airport recorded a 30.5°C maximum in the prior 24 hours, while multiple forecast models consistently project an afternoon peak of 29–30°C amid 70–80% thunderstorm chances and high humidity exceeding 80%. These conditions represent a departure from early-September climatological averages of 32–34°C, driven by active monsoon remnants that limit solar insolation. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker convective activity could allow temperatures to edge toward 31°C, though updated model runs and real-time surface data continue to favor the 30°C outcome through the resolution window.