- 9月5日，北京的最高气温会在28°C或以下吗？1¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会是29°C吗？<1¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会是30°C吗？3¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会达到31°C吗？6¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会是32°C吗？21¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会达到33°C吗？45¢
- 9月5日，北京的最高气温会是34°C吗？26¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会达到35°C吗？5¢
- 9月5日北京最高气温会达到36°C吗？2¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会是37°C吗？<1¢
- 9月5日北京的最高气温会达到38°C或更高吗？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate Beijing will experience partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on September 5 under light southerly flow, supporting daytime heating without significant cloud suppression or precipitation. This setup, typical of early September transitional patterns, favors a peak temperature in the 32–34°C range, consistent with recent observed highs near 31–32°C and climatological baselines for the period. Model consensus shows minimal divergence on maximum values, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting extreme outliers. Traders have weighted probabilities toward 33°C as the mode outcome, reflecting these stable atmospheric conditions ahead of a cooler, rainier shift later in the week.