- Flávio Bolsonaro 会在 2026年11月30日 前返回巴西吗？10¢10%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 会在 2026年12月31日 前返回巴西吗？16¢16%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 会在 2027年3月31日 前返回巴西吗？27¢27%
Flávio Bolsonaro, the defeated Liberal Party presidential candidate, faces a Supreme Court travel ban and passport surrender order issued October 26 by Justice Alexandre de Moraes as part of a money-laundering and corruption investigation tied to online betting and a film project. Multiple sources report he left Brazil for the United States on October 27 despite the deadline, joining family members already abroad, including brother Eduardo, amid speculation of an asylum request. His father, former president Jair Bolsonaro, remains under house arrest. Brazilian authorities have canceled his passports and are monitoring borders, while the U.S. side has provided limited confirmation of his movements. Resolution of the market hinges on any confirmed return date, potential diplomatic or legal developments in the U.S.-Brazil relationship, and outcomes of the ongoing probes.
规则
如果 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市场创建至指定日期 23:59 ET 之间返回巴西，该市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 “返回”是指 Flávio Bolsonaro 亲自进入巴西的陆地领土。在本市场期间，Bolsonaro 是否进入巴西领空或海域，都不会影响市场以肯定结果结算。 如果确认 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市场创建时身处巴西陆地领土，该市场将结算为“是”。 本市场结算的主要依据将是可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。