Olivia Rodrigo’s “You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love” holds the strongest market position at 66% implied probability thanks to its sustained Billboard 200 dominance since the June release, including a recent return to No. 1 on the Oct. 31 chart with 75,000 equivalent units fueled by the mid-October “Expectations” remix featuring Chappell Roan. The project has stayed in the top five for 19 weeks while benefiting from strong streaming, a sold-out Unraveled Tour, and the Nov. 5 debut of her first holiday single “Take Me Home (4 Christmas),” which should add fresh consumption during the relevant tracking period. Limited major competition from releases like Ella Langley’s “Dandelion,” Taylor Swift’s “The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore,” Zach Bryan’s latest, LISA’s “Press Play,” Queens of the Stone Age’s “Perfecth,” or Drake’s “HABIBTI (FOMO)” keeps the field fragmented, supporting the current trader consensus around Rodrigo’s established momentum.
Billboard 每周二更新 Billboard 200 专辑榜(部分节假日周会调整发行安排),反映上一周(周五至周四)的数据。每期 Billboard 榜单随后会标注日期:“截至(下一个星期六的日期)当周”。 本市场将根据标注为“截至 2026年11月14日 当周”的 Billboard 200 榜单第 1 名专辑进行结算。专辑主要按照其在指定榜单上的顺序排名。如果两张或更多专辑在任何名次上并列,则按榜单所列专辑名称的字母顺序确定排名。应用上述排名规则后,本市场将以排名最高的专辑为结算结果。 相关榜单一经发布,本市场即会结算。如果指定周的 Billboard 200 榜单未在预计发布日期起 14 个日历日内发布,本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场的结算依据为指定周的 Billboard 200 榜单,该榜单发布于 Billboard 网站(https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/)或其他 Billboard 官方渠道。
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