- 到2026年12月31日前，会有人工智能实验室宣布解决另一个千禧年大奖难题吗？23¢
- 到2027年12月31日，是否会有人工智能实验室宣布另一个千禧年大奖问题的解决方案？67¢
OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement that an internal swarm of roughly 10,000 AI agents solved a version of the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for additional breakthroughs. The result, formalized in Lean after 88 hours of agent collaboration and verified publicly, followed closely on human-AI work by NYU’s Tristan Buckmaster and Anthropic’s Levent Alpöge, sparking debate over attribution while demonstrating scaled autonomous reasoning on open conjectures. In early October, OpenAI released hundreds of further AI-generated proofs touching three unsolved Millennium problems, including progress on the Riemann hypothesis, intensifying competition among labs racing to apply frontier large language models to number theory and algebraic geometry. With five problems still open and Clay Institute review ongoing, upcoming model releases and targeted agent runs on the Hodge conjecture or P versus NP could quickly shift implied probabilities before year-end resolution thresholds.
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab, or an official representative of an eligible AI lab, announces that the lab has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.