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The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Aryna Sabalenka holds the top implied probability at 24% as two-time defending US Open champion with unmatched hard-court pedigree at Flushing Meadows, yet recent patchy results and a deep WTA field keep the race tight. Coco Gauff has climbed to 17.9% on the back of a Cincinnati title and strong summer hard-court form, while Iga Swiatek sits at 14.5% after her Toronto win. Jessica Pegula at 9.5% benefits from consistent wins and home support, with Elena Rybakina’s Achilles concerns and limited New York history capping her at 6%. This bunched pricing reflects broad parity among top players, where recent momentum, draw paths, and injury risks create realistic paths for multiple contenders to reach the later rounds.