The uncompetitive nature of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, with Harriet Hageman holding a projected 33-point lead over James Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for turnout near historical midterm levels around 180,000–200,000 votes. An open gubernatorial race introduces a modest wildcard that could modestly lift participation, while typical midterm drop-off from presidential-year totals, limited Democratic mobilization, and variable rural engagement exert downward pressure. Weather on Election Day and patterns in early and absentee ballots remain key variables that could shift final certified totals within the closely matched 170K–210K range without altering the underlying dynamics.
本市場將根據 2026 年懷俄明州聯邦參議員期中選舉中投下的有效票總數進行結算。 如果公布的數值恰好落在兩個級距之間,本市場將按較高的級距結算。 如果截至 2027年3月31日 下午11:59 ET,指定選舉的結果仍未獲得確定確認,此市場將按最低區間結算。 指定選舉中所有經認證投給候選人或非候選人選項的選票均計入。被判定無效的選票或空白票不計入。在排序選擇制或偏好投票制中,將採用第一輪的總票數。 本市場結算的主要依據為 2026 年懷俄明州聯邦參議員期中選舉的官方結果,由負責認證選舉結果的州選舉主管機關發布;但也可採用可信報導所呈現的壓倒性共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議,以原文為準。