Multiple postponements since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader sentiment on the Doge-1 lunar CubeSat mission, with the rideshare payload now aligned to Intuitive Machines' IM-3 flight targeted for early 2027 rather than any remaining 2026 window. SpaceX manifest priorities favor higher-profile cargo and crewed flights, leaving the Dogecoin-funded satellite with limited confirmed slots and no recent official T-0 date. Historical patterns of repeated slips underscore the uncertainty, while any formal manifest update or launch pad assignment could quickly shift implied probabilities. Traders are watching Q1 2027 NASA CLPS reviews and SpaceX scheduling for clearer signals on whether the mission clears its next hurdle before year-end deadlines.
如果 Doge-1 12U 月球立方體衛星在 2027年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前從其發射台成功發射,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 任何發射的結果都將透過檢視 SpaceX 提供的官方影片 (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX),以及必要時的次要影片來源和/或書面報告來佐證。 發射後發生的任何異常(例如爆炸)都不會影響結果。衛星與另一載具一同更名,不會影響此市場的結果。
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