- 普丁會在 2026年12月31日 之前與澤倫斯基會面嗎？10¢
Putin has consistently rejected direct bilateral meetings with Zelenskyy except under conditions Kyiv deems unacceptable, such as talks in Moscow, while recent diplomatic efforts have centered on trilateral or multilateral formats that exclude the Ukrainian leader. As of mid-October 2026, Putin proposed a potential summit with Trump and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC meeting without Zelenskyy, amid stalled negotiations over territorial issues, security guarantees, and cease-fire terms. US-mediated contacts, including envoy meetings in Oslo and planned talks in Russia, have produced no pathway to a Putin-Zelenskyy encounter. Traders' 93.5% implied probability for no meeting by December 31, 2026, reflects these entrenched positions and the absence of verifiable progress toward direct leader-level engagement despite ongoing peace initiatives.
規則
如果弗拉基米爾·普丁在本市場建立後至指定日期和時間 下午11:59 ET 之間與沃洛迪米爾·澤連斯基會面，本市場將判定為 "是"。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 提到的兩人之間有言語交流、握手、直接交談或其他明確的親自互動，均符合會面的定義。僅僅站得很近、眼神接觸，或在沒有直接互動的情況下出現在同一個房間或活動中，均不符合會面的定義。 會面是指澤連斯基和普丁雙方均在場並親自互動的任何相遇。 判定依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。
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