US federal prosecutors in New York opened preliminary investigations into Gustavo Petro in early 2026 over alleged ties to drug traffickers, including potential campaign donations and efforts to influence extraditions, with the DEA designating him a priority target in related narcotics probes. These inquiries, which surfaced during broader narco-terrorism cases, remain at an early stage without formal charges, and US officials previously assured Colombian counterparts that no indictment was imminent. Treasury sanctions imposed in late 2025 on Petro and associates cited counternarcotics concerns but did not involve criminal proceedings. As a former president, Petro faces additional domestic legal scrutiny in Colombia, yet US charging decisions hinge on evidentiary thresholds, interagency coordination, and diplomatic factors. No major public developments have advanced the probes since spring 2026, leaving trader consensus sensitive to any new DOJ actions or leaks before year-end resolution windows.
如果美國任何聯邦或州級司法管轄區在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前正式起訴哥倫比亞總統 Gustavo Petro,或宣布對其提出刑事起訴,本市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 就本市場而言,哥倫比亞特區以及任何州的郡、市鎮或其他分區,均應納入「州」的定義。 本市場判定的主要依據將是美國政府來源的官方資訊;但也會參考可信報導的廣泛共識。
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