- 加文·紐森會在2026年12月31日前宣布參選總統嗎？11¢11%
- Gavin Newsom 會在 2027年6月30日 前宣布參選總統嗎？54¢54%
- Gavin Newsom 會在 2027年3月31日 前宣布參選總統嗎？52¢52%
Gavin Newsom, term-limited after two terms as California governor, faces a narrow window to signal 2028 Democratic presidential intentions following Xavier Becerra’s victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial race. Newsom has publicly stated he would not enter the contest if Kamala Harris runs, citing substantial overlap in their California-based support networks and a desire to avoid splitting the early primary electorate. He has increased national visibility through events in South Carolina, the first-in-the-nation primary state, and indicated post-midterm clarity on timing. Key variables include Harris’s own decision, polling among Democratic primary voters, and any shifts in party dynamics ahead of formal announcements.
規則
如果 Gavin Newsom 在指定日期 下午11:59 ET 前正式宣布參選 2028 年美國總統選舉，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 就本市場的結算而言，Gavin Newsom 的宣布便足以使結果結算為「是」，無論他是否確實已提交參選提名，或是否會在未來提交參選提名。 本市場結算的主要依據將是 Gavin Newsom 的官方聲明（例如透過演講、社群媒體等），或其官方代表或法律代表的聲明；不過，也可採用可信報導的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。