- 加拿大今年的失業率會是 2016 年以來最高嗎？9¢9%
Canada's unemployment rate stood at 6.5% in September 2026, tracking near its 2026 average and well below the roughly 9.7% annual peak recorded in 2020 or the 7.5% level in 2021—the highest annual readings since 2016. Recent labor-market data show modest monthly job losses concentrated in public-sector roles and youth employment, alongside a participation rate near multi-decade lows outside the pandemic, yet the headline rate remains anchored by steady private-sector hiring and wage growth near 2.3% year-over-year. Bank of Canada communications and incoming indicators point to a cooling but non-recessionary economy, with markets pricing limited further deterioration before year-end. A sharp escalation in U.S. tariffs or an abrupt global slowdown could still lift the rate materially in the final months, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely.
規則
如果 Statistics Canada 在勞動力調查中公布的 2026 年任何一個月份經季節性調整失業率（15 歲及以上，總計）高於自 2017 年 1 月（含）以來任何其他月份的失業率，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 本市場的判定來源為勞動力調查，Statistics Canada 每月於 https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm 發布該調查。 首次符合條件的資料發布後所作的任何資料修訂，均不計入本市場的判定；每個月僅以最初發布的數值為準。符合條件的資料一經發布，本市場即會立即判定。 如果指定月份的數據未能在下一個月數據預定發布的日期前發布，本市場將根據最近一個可取得月份的數據進行結算。
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