- Ari Weinstein 會在 2026年12月31日 前離開 OpenAI 嗎？20¢20%
Ari Weinstein’s deep integration into OpenAI’s product team following the October 2025 acquisition of Software Applications Incorporated underpins the 91% market-implied probability he remains through December 31, 2026. As a member of product staff focused on computer-use capabilities, agentic desktop features, and Codex integration for macOS and ChatGPT, Weinstein has delivered public updates on features like Computer History through mid-2026, aligning with OpenAI’s push for advanced large language model automation amid competition from Anthropic and Google. Equity incentives from the acquisition and lack of reported exit signals or competing offers reinforce trader consensus on stability, even as OpenAI navigates broader executive turnover. Product timeline shifts or unexpected leadership changes could still alter outcomes in this competitive AI landscape.
規則
若 Ari Weinstein 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前的任何一段時間內，不再受僱於 OpenAI，或不再與 OpenAI 保持正式合約關係，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 這包括終止、暫停或撤回他對 OpenAI 所負的任何合約或合作義務。 任何有關 Ari 離開 OpenAI 的官方公告（例如 OpenAI 或 Ari 發表聲明，表示他將不再與 OpenAI 合作）都符合條件，不論公告所述的離職何時生效。 本市場的結算依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。