- Will Elon post "Mexico" on X this week?5¢
- Will Elon post "Border" on X this week?7¢
- Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?32¢
- Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?20¢
- Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?63¢
- Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?8¢
- Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?9¢
- Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week?30¢
- Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week?36¢
- Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?9¢
- Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?15¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Elon Musk's recent X activity centers on showcasing Grok AI advancements, including Grok Bot's video analysis capabilities, Grok Voice handling Starlink support calls at scale, and its top ranking on speech-to-speech benchmarks. These posts align with xAI's push to demonstrate practical large language model applications amid competition in the AI sector. Concurrently, SpaceX developments around Starship testing and launch cadence continue to feature prominently, reflecting ongoing engineering milestones. Broader themes in Musk's recent commentary include demographic challenges like fertility decline and platform-related policy notes, with traders monitoring for shifts tied to any new product updates or regulatory signals in the coming days.