Recent upward revisions to UK CPI forecasts stem primarily from sustained energy price increases tied to the Middle East conflict, which has elevated wholesale oil and gas costs since early 2026. The September 2026 outturn reached 3.5%, with the Bank of England’s November Monetary Policy Report projecting a 2026 Q4 average near 3.8% and a peak near 5% in 2027 Q2 before easing. The Office for Budget Responsibility’s October outlook placed the 2026 annual average at 3.1%, while noting a 3.4% reading for 2027 amid higher energy pass-through and limited second-round wage effects. These developments, alongside the MPC’s 25-basis-point rate hike to 4% on November 5, have anchored trader consensus on the 3.5–3.9% range as the modal outcome, reflecting real-money aggregation of near-term data and policy responses.
本市場關於英國消費者價格在截至 2026 年 12 月的期間內的變動,期間長度(月):12;數據依據英國國家統計局(ONS)的報告,且未經季節性調整。 本市場將根據 ONS 月報所載、截至 2026 年 12 月期間內消費者物價指數(CPI)的百分比變動來結算;期間長度(月):12。 本市場的結算依據為 ONS 發布的 2026 年 12 月消費者物價指數月報(https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases),目前預定於 2027年1月20日 發布。上述數據發布時,此市場即會結算。如果指定月份的數據未能在下一個月數據預定發布的日期前發布,本市場將根據最近一個可取得月份的數據進行結算。 您可以在 ONS 網站的價格指數過往發布資料頁面(https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases)中,選擇相關月份的報告來查閱此報告。相關數值可在「消費者物價通膨率」表格中,該月份「CPI 率(月份數:12)(%)」欄位找到。 注意:本市場的結算依據為 ONS 官方每月 CPI 新聞稿,該新聞稿將月份期間:12,的通膨變動報告至小數點後一位(例如 1.9%). 因此,結算此市場時將採用此精確度。完整發布時程請見:https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
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